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Blu-ray Wins the Format Battle, but Consumers Don't Buy it
By Shane Sturgeon
Publisher & Chief Technologist
Posted on May 14, 2008
Category: HD DVD & Blu-ray
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Blu-ray Wins the Format Battle, but Consumers Don't Buy it

Few U.S. Adults are Likely to Purchase a Blu-ray Player within the Next Year


ROCHESTER, N.Y.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--While many people expected sales of Blu-ray disc players to spike when Toshiba decided to drop out of the high-definition HD DVD market in February 2008, according to a new Harris Poll, it seems that the recently resolved high definition format war is not motivating consumers to purchase the advanced DVD players any time soon. The Harris Poll® of 2,529 U.S. adults surveyed online between April 7 and 15, 2008 by Harris Interactive® found that:

  • Ownership of standard DVD players is practically ubiquitous (87%);
  • Few report owning Blu-ray disc players (4%), Sony PlayStation 3 (5%), HD DVD players (6%) and the HD-DVD drive for the Xbox 360 (1% have external drive while 9% have an Xbox 360);
  • Only nine percent of non-Blu-ray player owners report being likely to purchase a Blu-ray disc player within the next year, even when made fully aware that Blu-ray is considered to be the definitive technology for high definition DVD players going forward;
  • Two-thirds of consumers are familiar with the recently resolved high-definition format war (67%) and seven in ten of them have heard that Blu-ray is the unofficial winner (69%);
  • Nearly a quarter (23%) of those aware of the format war report that they had been waiting for the rivalry to play itself out before purchasing a high definition player, but by April they had yet to do so;
  • Although one-third of consumers report owning a high definition television set (HDTV; 35%), with incidence higher among males (41%) versus females (28%) and rising decidedly with household income (15% for those with less than $35K vs. 53% among those with $75K+), the percentage of HDTV owners likely to purchase a Blu-ray disc player is only 14 percent;
  • Current ownership of Blu-ray disc players among HDTV owners stands at 10 percent.

According to Joan Barten Kline, Vice President of the Harris Interactive Media & Entertainment Practice, "Since Blu-ray disc player pricing averages more than $300, which is well above the cost for the latest generation of standard DVD players with up-converters, Blu-ray disc players may be encountering price sensitivity despite the advanced technology."


Internet Connectivity

Interest in a Blu-ray disc player with Internet connectivity expected to be out in the Fall in a higher price range is also lacking:

  • U.S. adults are more likely to purchase a Sony PlayStation 3 that plays Blu-ray discs and has Internet access for $399 (11%) or an original Blu-ray disc player without connectivity for the same price (10%) versus a new Blu-ray disc player with Internet for $500-$650 (4%);
  • Not surprisingly, the under 40 crowd is most likely to opt for the PlayStation 3 as their Blu-ray capable device of choice - fully 23 percent of those in the 30-39 age group are likely to purchase this device in the next year (compared to 14% likely to buy an original Blu-ray disc player or the new Blu-ray disc player with Internet connectivity 5%)).


What Will Become of the HD-DVD Player?

  • Like the BetaMax loyalists of yore, almost half (45%) of those who currently own an HD DVD player say that they will just continue to use it and continue purchasing HD DVD's as long as they are available;
  • Another 14 percent of those who currently own an HD DVD player will continue to use it with the HD DVD's they have already purchased, but do not plan on buying any new ones;
  • An equal proportion of HD DVD player owners (15%) will continue to use it but also plan to invest in a Blu-ray disc player in the future.


Methodology

The Harris Poll® was conducted online within the United States between April 7 and 15, 2008, among 2,529 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated. A full methodology and data tables are available at www.harrisinteractive.com.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

J33558

Q705, 710, 715, 720, 725, 730, 735


About Harris Interactive

Harris Interactive is a global leader in custom market research. With a long and rich history in multimodal research, powered by our science and technology, we assist clients in achieving business results. Harris Interactive serves clients globally through our North American, European and Asian offices and a network of independent market research firms.

Harris Interactive Inc. 5/08

Posted by Shane Sturgeon, May 14, 2008 11:20 AM

Reader Commentary

May 14, 12:17pm
My response to BluRay winning the format 'war' was to go out and buy a second identical Toshiba HD-A3KU for $99.00 as 'insurance' should my first HD player fail anytime soon. I have about a dozen HD DVD's, most of which I haven't even watched yet. I wil
May 14, 12:42pm
I will wait until the next 'newest thing' beyond BlueRay comes out :lol: Which may be sooner than expected. Right now, Mitsubishi is touring Electronic Expo stores, demonstrating 3-D home theater. With
May 14, 1:26pm
With HD VOD I will NEVER buy Blu-ray. Sony and their cronies can keep their expensive format and make office furniture out of the cases of unsold units. Directv and cable HD VOD is going to be the dragon slayer and I can't wait to see them win. jeb
May 14, 2:06pm
I purchased my Toshiba HD DVD player in November, and at that time I was unaware of any "war". BluRay and HDDVD's were selling at about the same rate. I presumed bluray sales were tied to PS3 sales. I love the upconverting feature, and I own several HD
May 14, 2:50pm
Watch Overstock.com and eBay for the few dual players that were produced...the prices are high now but they WILL come down. I for one will stick wit VOD....I used to be a "movie buyer" but in my own little protest....they can KEEP THEIR RETAIL SALES.
May 14, 5:50pm
I own both formats and have many of both disks but most people I know will not buy Blue-ray because of the great price difference.
May 14, 6:52pm
DirecTV just this past Friday came out and installed free upgrade of HD Receiver and replaced my 3 LNB dish with the new 5 LNB dish. Maybe the Dragon Slayer will arrive sooner than expected. :shock:
May 14, 10:06pm
As Mark Twain once said, there are lies, dammed lies and then there are statistics. Let’s take another look at these statistics derived from 2,529 adults which is about .0008 percent of the US population: Of these about 328 don’t even own a DVD player
May 15, 2:52am
"Let’s take another look at these statistics derived from 2,529 adults which is about .0008 percent of the US population:" .0008 of the population? I'm not a statistician, but seems to me that a sample of only .0008 of the population is a totally insig
Showing only excerpts from 10 out of 18, Read More

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About Shane Sturgeon

Shane Sturgeon is the Co-Publisher and Chief Technologist of HDTV Magazine, an industry publication with HDTV roots going back to 1984, when Dale Cripps founded The HDTV Newsletter. Today, HDTV Magazine is a leading online resource for HDTV news and information and captures the eyes and imaginations of over 3 million visitors annually. Mr. Sturgeon has a background in information technology and has served in various consulting capacities for Fortune 500 companies such as J.P. Morgan Chase, Verizon Communications, Proctor & Gamble and Nationwide Insurance. He has a Bachelor of Science in Computer Science from Wright State University.